Democrat Adam Hamilton leads Kansas Senate race by 2 points in new poll

A new The Hill‑Emerson College poll released Tuesday shows Democrat Adam Hamilton holding a narrow two‑point edge over Republican Governor Roger Marshall in Kansas’s U.S. Senate contest, with 45 percent of respondents favoring Hamilton and 43 percent backing Marshall. The survey also recorded 4 percent support for Libertarian candidate David Graham, while 8 percent of those polled were undecided or did not express a preference.

The race pits Hamilton, a former state representative and former chief of staff to former Sen. Pat Roberts, against Marshall, who has served as Kansas governor since 2019 and previously represented the state in the House. Kansas, a traditionally Republican stronghold, has seen a tightening margin in recent cycles, and the presence of a third‑party candidate has introduced a modest but potentially pivotal share of the vote. With the November election approaching, analysts note that the poll’s narrow lead underscores the competitiveness of the contest and that further voter outreach and turnout efforts could prove decisive.